Democratic landslide means Congress may let your payments slide. It could be March, or even April, before Congress is able to revoke the 5-percent physician payment cut that's scheduled to hit the conversion factor in January. You Can Jump On The Omnibus Congress probably can't pass a rescue for physicians by itself, notes attorney Chris Crosswhite with Duane Morris in Washington, DC. Instead, the pay fix will probably appear as part of an "omnibus" Medicare bill -- which may include some changes to the Part D prescription drug program that President Bush will be reluctant to sign.
The Democrats took control of the House of Representatives and the Senate, with an estimated 28-seat pickup in the House.
That means the end-of-the-year "lame duck" session will be even lamer than usual, with the outgoing GOP majority unlikely to make sweeping changes in Medicare. Capitol Hill insiders don't expect to see a fix to the physician pay cut before the end of the year.
It could take the Democrats a few months to get settled in before they're ready to tackle ambitious Medicare legislation, says Julius Hobson, a former lobbyist for the American Medical Association. With a change of parties, it can take months to sort out committee assignments and work out the minority party representation on committees. It could be March before the new Congress is up and running, warns Hobson, now a senior policy advisor at Powell Goldstein in Washington, DC.
Also, when the Republicans took over Congress in 1995, they made sweeping changes to the committee structure, abolishing some committees and reorganizing others. The Democrats may want to reverse all of those changes, Hobson says. Lastly, some of the Republicans with the greatest experience on Medicare issues, such as Rep. Nancy Johnson (R-CT) lost their seats in the election, he notes.
Presumptive new House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) says she wants to reinstate the "pay-as-you-go" system, under which any spending increases must have matching spending cuts. And some Democrats oppose increasing Part B premiums. Those factors make it even harder for legislators to find money to pay for stabilizing doctors' payments, Hobson notes.
The good news is that legislators on both sides of the aisle are fully educated about the problem with physician payments, and committed to solving it, Hobson says.
The bad news is that the longer you go into next year, the less likely Congress is to make any pay increase retroactive to the start of the year, Hobson adds. Doctors will have to make a "significant push" to "get some kind of relief," he says.
Some leading Democrats in the House have expressed skepticism about pay-for-performance (P4P), in which physicians would receive bonuses for reporting quality information and meeting quality standards. Democrats are less likely to believe that P4P will lead to payment savings, instead of just boosting quality. But the concept has bipartisan support in the Senate, Hobson notes.