Economist raises concerns about anti-competitive aspects of CMS initiative. FEHBP Cuts Dramatically Reduce Savings The November 2003 final report on NCB demonstration project outcomes estimated savings in Polk County at 17.88 percent and in San Antonio at 20.47 percent. Using utilization data that was readily available, Brown came up with savings estimates very close to those in the NCB report - 18.6 percent in Polk County and 21.06 percent in San Antonio.
Durable medical equipment providers have a fresh piece of evidence when building their case against national competitive bidding.
Ken Brown, an economics professor at the University of Northern Iowa in Cedar Falls, this month completed an analysis for Waterloo, IA-based VGM & Associates that raises substantial questions about the wisdom of instituting competitive bidding.
While bidding will undoubtedly cut the number of firms serving beneficiaries, Brown's research challenges the idea that the initiative will dramatically cut Medicare costs, as its architects claim.
Starting with the results of the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services' NCB demonstration projects in Polk County, FL, and San Antonio, Brown analyzed the reduction in potential savings following Federal Employee Health Benefit Plan cuts in reimbursement rates for DME.
Bad news for CMS: "The savings they thought they were going to get are much less," Brown says. "It's between 40 and 50 percent less."
In light of Brown's analysis, the government should rethink the wisdom of instituting a complex and costly NCB bureaucracy, DME industry advocates say.
"[The report] raises a huge question about why they want to move forward with this," says John Gallagher, VGM's vice president for government relations.
Brown then recalculated savings estimates using the 2005 fee schedule with FEHBP cuts. He came up with an estimated savings of 9.54 percent for Polk County and 12.02 percent for San Antonio. That represents an overall savings reduction of 45 percent.
"There's much less to be gained from competitive bidding than was originally thought, and at the expense of a variety of factors that aren't captured by the savings estimate," Brown tells Eli. For example, the government's savings estimates don't account for the costs of implementing competitive bidding.